Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 35.0, 3.4 below their strike rate of 38.5 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 505 balls faced.

Sample: 505 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 59, 10 below their balls per dismissal of 69 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 474 balls faced.

Sample: 474 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 22.1, 4.6 below their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 505 balls faced.

Sample: 505 balls · high confidence

England: average of 19.0, 7.7 below their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 280 balls faced.

Sample: 280 balls · medium confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 22.8, 3.9 below their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +22%) — 218 balls faced.

Sample: 218 balls · low confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 22.8, 3.9 below their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +21%) — 218 balls faced.

Sample: 218 balls · low confidence

Off break: average of 20.7, 6.0 below their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 161 balls faced.

Sample: 161 balls · low confidence

England: average of 17.8, 8.9 below their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 198 balls faced.

Sample: 198 balls · low confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 46, 23 below their balls per dismissal of 69 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 186 balls faced.

Sample: 186 balls · low confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 242, 173 above their balls per dismissal of 69 on all balls faced (+249%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 242 balls faced.

Sample: 242 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 47.3, 20.6 above their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (+77%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 404 balls faced.

Sample: 404 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 42.8, 4.4 above their strike rate of 38.5 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 397 balls faced.

Sample: 397 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 34.0, 7.3 above their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 397 balls faced.

Sample: 397 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 47.3, 20.6 above their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (+77%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 404 balls faced.

Sample: 404 balls · medium confidence