Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

JC Archer, Men's Test

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 18, 4 below their balls per dismissal of 22 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 202 balls faced.
Sample: 202 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 13.6, 1.5 above their average of 12.1 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 282 balls faced.
Sample: 282 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 25.5, 13.4 above their average of 12.1 on all balls faced (+110%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 168 balls faced.
Sample: 168 balls · low confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 31.9, 3.2 above their average of 28.6 on all balls bowled (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 2773 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,773 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 35.3, 6.7 above their average of 28.6 on all balls bowled (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 1399 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,399 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 104.5, 75.9 above their average of 28.6 on all balls bowled (+265%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 492 balls bowled.
Sample: 492 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 50.5, 21.9 above their average of 28.6 on all balls bowled (+76%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 396 balls bowled.
Sample: 396 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 61.5, 6.9 above their strike rate of 54.6 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2337 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,337 balls · high confidence

Australia: average of 22.3, 6.4 below their average of 28.6 on all balls bowled (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 1416 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,416 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 49.0, 5.6 below their strike rate of 54.6 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1470 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,470 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 25.1, 3.5 below their average of 28.6 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1635 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,635 balls · high confidence
England: average of 26.4, 2.3 below their average of 28.6 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 3130 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,130 balls · high confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	271	137	13	10.54	50.55	74.5%	7.0%
Right-arm fast	109	54	7	7.71	49.54	71.6%	6.4%
Off break	96	40	4	10.00	41.67	78.1%	5.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	390	201	16	12.56	51.54	72.3%	6.7%
Second new ball (81+)	279	163	14	11.64	58.42	70.6%	7.9%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,773	1,402	44	31.86	3.03	63.0	75.4%	6.9%
Left-handed batters	1,635	879	35	25.11	3.23	46.7	73.8%	7.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	2,337	1,223	38	32.18	3.14	61.5	73.6%	6.9%
New ball (1-20)	1,470	750	30	25.00	3.06	49.0	76.4%	6.9%
Second new ball (81+)	722	404	15	26.93	3.36	48.1	75.3%	8.0%