Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

JE Taylor, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 58.7, 3.5 below their strike rate of 62.2 on all balls faced (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 613 balls faced.
Sample: 613 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 10.7, 1.4 below their average of 12.1 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 514 balls faced.
Sample: 514 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 7.5, 4.6 below their average of 12.1 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 177 balls faced.
Sample: 177 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 66.3, 4.1 above their strike rate of 62.2 on all balls faced (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 514 balls faced.
Sample: 514 balls · high confidence
Left-arm fast-medium: average of 23.2, 11.2 above their average of 12.1 on all balls faced (+92%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 160 balls faced.
Sample: 160 balls · low confidence
Off break: strike rate of 80.5, 18.3 above their strike rate of 62.2 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 154 balls faced.
Sample: 154 balls · low confidence
South Africa: average of 15.3, 3.2 above their average of 12.1 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 220 balls faced.
Sample: 220 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

England: average of 88.5, 55.9 above their average of 32.6 on all balls bowled (+171%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 762 balls bowled.
Sample: 762 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 48.9, 16.3 above their average of 32.6 on all balls bowled (+50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 2905 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,905 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 50.7, 18.0 above their average of 32.6 on all balls bowled (+55%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 997 balls bowled.
Sample: 997 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 50.7, 18.0 above their average of 32.6 on all balls bowled (+55%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 997 balls bowled.
Sample: 997 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 65.8, 9.6 above their strike rate of 56.2 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2765 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,765 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 100.0, 67.4 above their average of 32.6 on all balls bowled (+207%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 330 balls bowled.
Sample: 330 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

At home: average of 24.1, 8.6 below their average of 32.6 on all balls bowled (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 3618 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,618 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 24.1, 8.6 below their average of 32.6 on all balls bowled (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 3618 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,618 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 50.2, 6.0 below their strike rate of 56.2 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2160 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	346	217	21	10.33	62.72	74.6%	10.1%
Slow left-arm orthodox	174	100	7	14.29	57.47	72.4%	7.5%
Right-arm fast	166	102	8	12.75	61.45	71.1%	8.4%
Left-arm fast-medium	160	93	4	23.25	58.13	75.6%	10.6%
Off break	154	124	11	11.27	80.52	68.8%	11.7%
Leg break	79	37	4	9.25	46.84	79.7%	8.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Second new ball (81+)	613	360	26	13.85

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	4,226	2,490	80	31.13	3.54	52.8	72.2%	7.7%
Left-handed batters	2,519	1,424	40	35.60	3.39	63.0	75.3%	7.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	2,765	1,568	42	37.33	3.40	65.8	73.4%	7.1%
New ball (1-20)	2,160	1,213	43	28.21	3.37	50.2	75.5%	7.9%
Second new ball (81+)	1,820	1,133	35	32.37	3.74	52.0	70.9%	8.7%