Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-handed batters: average of 42.6, 12.0 above their average of 30.6 on all balls bowled (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1328 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,328 balls · high confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 3.47, 0.23 above their economy of 3.23 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1328 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,328 balls · high confidence

England: average of 116.5, 85.9 above their average of 30.6 on all balls bowled (+280%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 435 balls bowled.

Sample: 435 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 109.2, 52.3 above their strike rate of 56.9 on all balls bowled (+92%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 546 balls bowled.

Sample: 546 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): economy of 4.33, 1.09 above their economy of 3.23 on all balls bowled (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 355 balls bowled.

Sample: 355 balls · low confidence

England: average of 62.5, 31.9 above their average of 30.6 on all balls bowled (+104%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 255 balls bowled.

Sample: 255 balls · low confidence

Old ball (21-80): economy of 2.96, 0.28 below their economy of 3.23 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1033 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,033 balls · high confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 17.2, 13.5 below their average of 30.6 on all balls bowled (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 606 balls bowled.

Sample: 606 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 28.7, 1.9 below their average of 30.6 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 1314 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,314 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 16.2, 14.5 below their average of 30.6 on all balls bowled (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 378 balls bowled.

Sample: 378 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 2.72, 0.51 below their economy of 3.23 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 606 balls bowled.

Sample: 606 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 29.6, 27.3 below their strike rate of 56.9 on all balls bowled (-48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 355 balls bowled.

Sample: 355 balls · low confidence