Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Khaled Ahmed, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

No batting weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

Bowling to them: what to avoid

No batting strength clears the thresholds in this format.

Batting against them: where they leak

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 114.6, 34.5 above their strike rate of 80.1 on all balls bowled (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1146 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,146 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 63.4, 16.1 above their average of 47.2 on all balls bowled (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1551 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,551 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 63.4, 16.1 above their average of 47.2 on all balls bowled (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1551 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,551 balls · high confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 65.7, 18.4 above their average of 47.2 on all balls bowled (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -14%) — 420 balls bowled.
Sample: 420 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 95.0, 47.8 above their average of 47.2 on all balls bowled (+101%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 294 balls bowled.
Sample: 294 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Away from home: average of 36.0, 11.3 below their average of 47.2 on all balls bowled (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 1173 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,173 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 72.0, 8.1 below their strike rate of 80.1 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 864 balls bowled.
Sample: 864 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 19.6, 27.6 below their average of 47.2 on all balls bowled (-59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 375 balls bowled.
Sample: 375 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 19.6, 27.6 below their average of 47.2 on all balls bowled (-59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 375 balls bowled.
Sample: 375 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 32.9, 14.4 below their average of 47.2 on all balls bowled (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 462 balls bowled.
Sample: 462 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 32.9, 14.4 below their average of 47.2 on all balls bowled (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 462 balls bowled.
Sample: 462 balls · medium confidence
Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 59.5, 20.6 below their strike rate of 80.1 on all balls bowled (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 714 balls bowled.
Sample: 714 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	60	16	7	2.29	26.67	88.3%	5.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	129	41	16	2.56	31.78	83.7%	5.4%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,895	1,119	23	48.65	3.54	82.4	70.5%	7.7%
Left-handed batters	829	487	11	44.27	3.52	75.4	73.1%	8.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	1,146	655	10	65.50	3.43	114.6	71.9%	7.6%
New ball (1-20)	864	496	12	41.33	3.44	72.0	71.6%	7.3%
Second new ball (81+)	714	455	12	37.92	3.82	59.5	69.9%	9.2%