Plans built only from the evidence.

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 39.4, 12.3 below their strike rate of 51.7 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 452 balls faced.

Sample: 452 balls · high confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: average of 22.2, 13.7 below their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 452 balls faced.

Sample: 452 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 25.7, 10.2 below their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 1057 balls faced.

Sample: 1,057 balls · high confidence

Australia: average of 25.7, 10.2 below their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 968 balls faced.

Sample: 968 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 15.6, 20.3 below their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (-57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 252 balls faced.

Sample: 252 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 56, 14 below their balls per dismissal of 70 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1558 balls faced.

Sample: 1,558 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 21.9, 14.1 below their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (-39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +22%) — 303 balls faced.

Sample: 303 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm medium: strike rate of 46.2, 5.5 below their strike rate of 51.7 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 368 balls faced.

Sample: 368 balls · medium confidence

Bangladesh: average of 14.2, 21.7 below their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (-60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 168 balls faced.

Sample: 168 balls · low confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 46.3, 10.3 above their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 3544 balls faced.

Sample: 3,544 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 48.1, 12.2 above their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 663 balls faced.

Sample: 663 balls · high confidence

England: average of 43.7, 7.8 above their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 2810 balls faced.

Sample: 2,810 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 56.5, 4.9 above their strike rate of 51.7 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1100 balls faced.

Sample: 1,100 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 51.8, 15.9 above their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1104 balls faced.

Sample: 1,104 balls · high confidence

England: average of 40.9, 5.0 above their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2251 balls faced.

Sample: 2,251 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 41.2, 5.2 above their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1529 balls faced.

Sample: 1,529 balls · high confidence

Right-arm medium: average of 85.0, 49.1 above their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (+136%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 368 balls faced.

Sample: 368 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 40.0, 4.0 above their average of 35.9 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 2415 balls faced.

Sample: 2,415 balls · high confidence