Plans built only from the evidence.

Australia: average of 105.7, 62.3 above their average of 43.3 on all balls bowled (+144%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 480 balls bowled.

Sample: 480 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 73.3, 30.0 above their average of 43.3 on all balls bowled (+69%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 284 balls bowled.

Sample: 284 balls · low confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 4.65, 0.69 above their economy of 3.95 on all balls bowled (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 284 balls bowled.

Sample: 284 balls · low confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 47.1, 18.6 below their strike rate of 65.8 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 377 balls bowled.

Sample: 377 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 33.3, 10.0 below their average of 43.3 on all balls bowled (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 505 balls bowled.

Sample: 505 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 3.56, 0.39 below their economy of 3.95 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 505 balls bowled.

Sample: 505 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 22.6, 20.8 below their average of 43.3 on all balls bowled (-48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 309 balls bowled.

Sample: 309 balls · low confidence