Plans built only from the evidence.

Bowling to them: where to attack

• Spin: average of 16.9, 3.2 below their average of 20.1 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 326 balls faced.

  Sample: 326 balls · medium confidence

• Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 48.0, 5.0 below their strike rate of 53.0 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 248 balls faced.

  Sample: 248 balls · medium confidence

• Old ball (21-80): average of 17.0, 3.1 below their average of 20.1 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 248 balls faced.

  Sample: 248 balls · medium confidence

• Off break: average of 13.7, 6.4 below their average of 20.1 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 168 balls faced.

  Sample: 168 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

No batting strength clears the thresholds in this format.