Plans built only from the evidence.

Bangladesh: average of 14.2, 2.5 below their average of 16.8 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +22%) — 179 balls faced.

Sample: 179 balls · low confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 40.6, 5.2 below their strike rate of 45.8 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 175 balls faced.

Sample: 175 balls · low confidence

West Indies: average of 19.1, 2.3 above their average of 16.8 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 506 balls faced.

Sample: 506 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 18.6, 1.8 above their average of 16.8 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 390 balls faced.

Sample: 390 balls · medium confidence

South Africa: average of 29.0, 12.2 above their average of 16.8 on all balls faced (+73%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 219 balls faced.

Sample: 219 balls · low confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 23.7, 6.9 above their average of 16.8 on all balls faced (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 175 balls faced.

Sample: 175 balls · low confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 50, 13 above their balls per dismissal of 37 on all balls faced (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 198 balls faced.

Sample: 198 balls · low confidence