Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

LE Plunkett, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 24.2, 26.1 below their strike rate of 50.3 on all balls faced (-52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 186 balls faced.
Sample: 186 balls · low confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 7.5, 10.1 below their average of 17.6 on all balls faced (-57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 186 balls faced.
Sample: 186 balls · low confidence
Spin: average of 13.8, 3.8 below their average of 17.6 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 179 balls faced.
Sample: 179 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 68.4, 18.1 above their strike rate of 50.3 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 269 balls faced.
Sample: 269 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 20.0, 2.4 above their average of 17.6 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 276 balls faced.
Sample: 276 balls · medium confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 26.3, 8.7 above their average of 17.6 on all balls faced (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 269 balls faced.
Sample: 269 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 20.7, 3.1 above their average of 17.6 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 429 balls faced.
Sample: 429 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 73.1, 22.8 above their strike rate of 50.3 on all balls faced (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 160 balls faced.
Sample: 160 balls · low confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 86, 50 above their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (+144%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 171 balls faced.
Sample: 171 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 29.2, 11.6 above their average of 17.6 on all balls faced (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 160 balls faced.
Sample: 160 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Old ball (21-80): economy of 3.68, 0.28 above their economy of 3.40 on all balls bowled (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1303 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,303 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 45.0, 8.8 above their average of 36.2 on all balls bowled (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 534 balls bowled.
Sample: 534 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Sri Lanka: average of 28.6, 7.6 below their average of 36.2 on all balls bowled (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1125 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,125 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 2.94, 0.46 below their economy of 3.40 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 670 balls bowled.
Sample: 670 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	160	117	4	29.25	73.13	66.3%	11.3%
Slow left-arm orthodox	78	32	2	16.00	41.03	69.2%	2.6%
Off break	74	28	2	14.00	37.84	75.7%	4.1%
Right-arm medium	62	26	3	8.67	41.94	80.6%	6.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Second new ball (81+)	269	184	7	26.29	68.40	67.3%	10.0%
Old ball (21-80)	186	45	6	7.50	24.19	81.2%	2.2%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,718	965	27	35.74	3.37	63.6	72.9%	7.5%
Left-handed batters	771	446	12	37.17	3.47	64.3	72.2%	7.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	1,303	799	20	39.95	3.68	65.2	70.8%	8.0%
Second new ball (81+)	670	328	11	29.82	2.94	60.9	75.1%	6.4%
New ball (1-20)	516	284	8	35.50	3.30	64.5	74.4%	7.4%