Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

LU Igalagamage, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

At home: average of 17.9, 16.9 below their average of 34.8 on all balls faced (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 235 balls faced.
Sample: 235 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 17.9, 16.9 below their average of 34.8 on all balls faced (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 235 balls faced.
Sample: 235 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 14.0, 20.8 below their average of 34.8 on all balls faced (-60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 176 balls faced.
Sample: 176 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Away from home: average of 94.0, 59.2 above their average of 34.8 on all balls faced (+170%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 252 balls faced.
Sample: 252 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 60.8, 26.0 above their average of 34.8 on all balls faced (+75%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 311 balls faced.
Sample: 311 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 94.0, 59.2 above their average of 34.8 on all balls faced (+170%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 252 balls faced.
Sample: 252 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 94.0, 59.2 above their average of 34.8 on all balls faced (+170%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 252 balls faced.
Sample: 252 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 51.0, 16.2 above their average of 34.8 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 158 balls faced.
Sample: 158 balls · low confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 45.3, 10.6 above their average of 34.8 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 196 balls faced.
Sample: 196 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	158	102	2	51.00	64.56	73.4%	10.8%
Slow left-arm orthodox	104	31	5	6.20	29.81	78.8%	1.9%
Right-arm fast	93	82	2	41.00	88.17	64.5%	14.0%
Off break	70	38	0	–	54.29	57.1%	2.9%
Right-arm medium	60	59	0	–	98.33	56.7%	18.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
New ball (1-20)	291	177	6	29.50	60.82	70.8%	9.3%
Old ball (21-80)	196	136	3	45.33