Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

M Louis, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Spin: average of 14.4, 4.0 below their average of 18.4 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 229 balls faced.
Sample: 229 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast: strike rate of 36.8, 4.4 below their strike rate of 41.1 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 223 balls faced.
Sample: 223 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 20.6, 2.2 above their average of 18.4 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 668 balls faced.
Sample: 668 balls · high confidence
England: average of 27.0, 8.6 above their average of 18.4 on all balls faced (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 344 balls faced.
Sample: 344 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 27.0, 8.6 above their average of 18.4 on all balls faced (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 344 balls faced.
Sample: 344 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 54, 9 above their balls per dismissal of 45 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 268 balls faced.
Sample: 268 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 45.6, 4.4 above their strike rate of 41.1 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 259 balls faced.
Sample: 259 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast: average of 27.3, 8.9 above their average of 18.4 on all balls faced (+48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 223 balls faced.
Sample: 223 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	259	118	6	19.67	45.56	77.2%	6.9%
Right-arm fast	223	82	3	27.33	36.77	79.8%	4.5%
Right-arm medium	130	51	2	25.50	39.23	80.8%	5.4%
Off break	125	67	4	16.75	53.60	67.2%	4.0%
Slow left-arm orthodox	87	27	3	9.00	31.03	78.2%	2.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
New ball (1-20)	637	257	14	18.36	40.35	77.7%	5.2%
Old ball (21-80)	260	112	6	18.67