Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

MA Starc, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Old ball (21-80): average of 14.3, 5.6 below their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1944 balls faced.
Sample: 1,944 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 51.5, 6.7 below their strike rate of 58.2 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1944 balls faced.
Sample: 1,944 balls · high confidence
Pace: average of 16.8, 3.1 below their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 2588 balls faced.
Sample: 2,588 balls · high confidence
Off break: strike rate of 51.9, 6.3 below their strike rate of 58.2 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1044 balls faced.
Sample: 1,044 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast: average of 15.8, 4.1 below their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 842 balls faced.
Sample: 842 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 12.7, 7.2 below their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 237 balls faced.
Sample: 237 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 14.6, 5.3 below their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 277 balls faced.
Sample: 277 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 8.1, 11.8 below their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (-59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 192 balls faced.
Sample: 192 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 11.9, 8.0 below their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 205 balls faced.
Sample: 205 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

England: average of 28.7, 8.8 above their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 820 balls faced.
Sample: 820 balls · high confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 47, 13 above their balls per dismissal of 34 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1032 balls faced.
Sample: 1,032 balls · high confidence
Off break: average of 33.9, 14.0 above their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (+70%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1044 balls faced.
Sample: 1,044 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 27.1, 7.2 above their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 2374 balls faced.
Sample: 2,374 balls · high confidence
Spin: average of 27.4, 7.5 above their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 1751 balls faced.
Sample: 1,751 balls · high confidence
England: average of 25.2, 5.3 above their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1210 balls faced.
Sample: 1,210 balls · high confidence
India: average of 23.4, 3.5 above their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1200 balls faced.
Sample: 1,200 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 22.1, 2.2 above their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 2003 balls faced.
Sample: 2,003 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

India: average of 53.7, 27.7 above their average of 26.0 on all balls bowled (+107%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 807 balls bowled.
Sample: 807 balls · high confidence
India: average of 35.8, 9.9 above their average of 26.0 on all balls bowled (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 4150 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,150 balls · high confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 53.2, 27.2 above their average of 26.0 on all balls bowled (+105%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 600 balls bowled.
Sample: 600 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Sri Lanka: average of 16.9, 9.0 below their average of 26.0 on all balls bowled (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1058 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,058 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 18.9, 7.1 below their average of 26.0 on all balls bowled (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1903 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,903 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 16.2, 9.8 below their average of 26.0 on all balls bowled (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 881 balls bowled.
Sample: 881 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 19.1, 6.9 below their average of 26.0 on all balls bowled (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 1667 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,667 balls · high confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	1,381	797	44	18.11	57.71	70.2%	7.1%
Off break	1,044	542	16	33.88	51.92	73.1%	5.7%
Right-arm fast	842	521	33	15.79	61.88	68.5%	8.9%
Slow left-arm orthodox	499	295	12	24.58	59.12	67.3%	6.4%
Leg break	152	150	7	21.43	98.68	54.6%	11.2%
Right-arm medium	135	76	3	25.33	56.30	69.6%	6.7%
Left-arm fast-medium	121	74	5	14.80	61.16	66.9%	8.3%
Left-arm fast	92	26	4	6.50	28.26	78.3%	2.2%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	14,643	8,252	308	26.79	3.38	47.5	73.2%	7.5%
Left-handed batters	6,256	3,696	152	24.32	3.54	41.2	71.4%	7.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	10,470	6,154	212	29.03	3.53	49.4	71.8%	7.5%
New ball (1-20)	6,496	3,521	141	24.97	3.25	46.1	74.6%	7.4%
Second new ball (81+)	3,933	2,273	107	21.24	3.47	36.8	72.0%	7.9%

Second new ball (81+)	2,374	1,520	56	27.14	64.03	68.1%	8.0%
Old ball (21-80)	1,944	1,002	70	14.31	51.54	71.9%	6.3%