Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 36.7, 9.1 below their strike rate of 45.8 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 422 balls faced.

Sample: 422 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 36.7, 6.2 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 256 balls faced.

Sample: 256 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 40.0, 5.8 below their strike rate of 45.8 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 300 balls faced.

Sample: 300 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 38.8, 4.1 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 422 balls faced.

Sample: 422 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 58, 36 below their balls per dismissal of 94 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 173 balls faced.

Sample: 173 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 21.8, 21.1 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 153 balls faced.

Sample: 153 balls · low confidence

Pace: average of 46.6, 3.7 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 493 balls faced.

Sample: 493 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 58.1, 12.3 above their strike rate of 45.8 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 258 balls faced.

Sample: 258 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 50.0, 7.1 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 258 balls faced.

Sample: 258 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 71.0, 28.1 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 329 balls faced.

Sample: 329 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 56.9, 11.1 above their strike rate of 45.8 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 153 balls faced.

Sample: 153 balls · low confidence