Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

MA Wood, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 56.1, 14.9 below their strike rate of 71.0 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 508 balls faced.
Sample: 508 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 11.9, 4.0 below their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 508 balls faced.
Sample: 508 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 7.9, 8.0 below their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (-50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 294 balls faced.
Sample: 294 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 51.0, 19.9 below their strike rate of 71.0 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 294 balls faced.
Sample: 294 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 83.9, 12.9 above their strike rate of 71.0 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 627 balls faced.
Sample: 627 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 20.2, 4.3 above their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 627 balls faced.
Sample: 627 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 25.6, 9.7 above their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 288 balls faced.
Sample: 288 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 28, 5 above their balls per dismissal of 22 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 360 balls faced.
Sample: 360 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 29.4, 13.5 above their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (+85%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 182 balls faced.
Sample: 182 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 78.6, 23.1 above their strike rate of 55.5 on all balls bowled (+42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1494 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,494 balls · high confidence
India: average of 50.3, 19.5 above their average of 30.8 on all balls bowled (+63%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 720 balls bowled.
Sample: 720 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 3.55, 0.22 above their economy of 3.33 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 2377 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,377 balls · high confidence
India: average of 77.8, 47.0 above their average of 30.8 on all balls bowled (+152%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 467 balls bowled.
Sample: 467 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 32.6, 1.8 above their average of 30.8 on all balls bowled (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 3451 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,451 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 44.2, 13.4 above their average of 30.8 on all balls bowled (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 440 balls bowled.
Sample: 440 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 57.0, 26.2 above their average of 30.8 on all balls bowled (+85%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 258 balls bowled.
Sample: 258 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 51.3, 20.5 above their average of 30.8 on all balls bowled (+67%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 330 balls bowled.
Sample: 330 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 52.4, 3.2 below their strike rate of 55.5 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 3824 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	294	150	19	7.89	51.02	75.9%	8.2%
Slow left-arm orthodox	182	147	5	29.40	80.77	69.8%	12.1%
Left-arm fast	149	132	4	33.00	88.59	61.1%	14.1%
Right-arm fast	134	105	11	9.55	78.36	66.4%	11.9%
Off break	132	78	7	11.14	59.09	71.2%	8.3%
Left-arm fast-medium	122	110	2	55.00	90.16	60.7%	13.9%
Leg break	102	67	3	22.33	65.69	76.5%	13.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	4,233	2,258	76	29.71	3.20	55.7	72.9%	6.9%
Left-handed batters	2,377	1,407	43	32.72	3.55	55.3	71.1%	7.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	3,824	2,123	73	29.08	3.33	52.4	71.2%	6.8%
New ball (1-20)	1,494	845	19	44.47	3.39	78.6	72.9%	7.7%
Second new ball (81+)	1,292	697	27	25.81	3.24	47.9	74.7%	7.5%

Old ball (21-80)	627	526	26	20.23	83.89	65.2%	13.9%
Second new ball (81+)	508	285	24	11.88	56.10	74.6%	8.5%