Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

MD Fisher, Men's Test

No batting weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

No batting strength clears the thresholds in this format.

No bowling weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

England: average of 24.0, 7.8 below their average of 31.8 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 242 balls bowled.
Sample: 242 balls · low confidence
At home: average of 24.0, 7.8 below their average of 31.8 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 242 balls bowled.
Sample: 242 balls · low confidence
New Zealand: average of 24.0, 7.8 below their average of 31.8 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 242 balls bowled.
Sample: 242 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	80	48	1	48.00	60.00	71.3%	7.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	73	40	1	40.00	54.79	69.9%	5.5%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	281	137	4	34.25	2.93	70.3	75.8%	6.4%
Left-handed batters	123	54	2	27.00	2.63	61.5	77.2%	4.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	180	85	0	–	2.83	–	76.1%	5.6%
Second new ball (81+)	122	65	4	16.25	3.20	30.5	74.6%	8.2%
New ball (1-20)	102	41	2	20.50	2.41	51.0	78.4%	3.9%