Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

MG Bracewell, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Spin: average of 18.4, 4.2 below their average of 22.6 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 218 balls faced.
Sample: 218 balls · low confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 31, 8 below their balls per dismissal of 40 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 188 balls faced.
Sample: 188 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 27.9, 5.3 above their average of 22.6 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 337 balls faced.
Sample: 337 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 94, 55 above their balls per dismissal of 40 on all balls faced (+139%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 189 balls faced.
Sample: 189 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Old ball (21-80): economy of 4.09, 0.48 above their economy of 3.60 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1267 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,267 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 79.8, 31.9 above their average of 47.9 on all balls bowled (+67%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1346 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,346 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: economy of 3.91, 0.31 above their economy of 3.60 on all balls bowled (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1346 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,346 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 88.3, 8.5 above their strike rate of 79.8 on all balls bowled (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 530 balls bowled.
Sample: 530 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 141.0, 93.1 above their average of 47.9 on all balls bowled (+194%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 342 balls bowled.
Sample: 342 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Left-handed batters: average of 22.9, 25.1 below their average of 47.9 on all balls bowled (-52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 647 balls bowled.
Sample: 647 balls · medium confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 2.49, 1.11 below their economy of 3.60 on all balls bowled (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 530 balls bowled.
Sample: 530 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 2.97, 0.64 below their economy of 3.60 on all balls bowled (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 647 balls bowled.
Sample: 647 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 32.3, 15.6 below their average of 47.9 on all balls bowled (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 390 balls bowled.
Sample: 390 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 39.5, 8.4 below their average of 47.9 on all balls bowled (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 570 balls bowled.
Sample: 570 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 39.5, 8.4 below their average of 47.9 on all balls bowled (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 570 balls bowled.
Sample: 570 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	278	163	7	23.29	58.63	71.9%	9.0%
Slow left-arm orthodox	88	54	4	13.50	61.36	72.7%	9.1%
Off break	83	35	0	–	42.17	74.7%	2.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	341	195	9	21.67	57.18	70.1%	7.6%
Second new ball (81+)	228	122	5	24.40	53.51	73.2%	7.9%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,346	878	11	79.82	3.91	122.4	67.1%	8.0%
Left-handed batters	647	320	14	22.86	2.97	46.2	78.1%	7.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	1,267	863	15	57.53	4.09	84.5	67.5%	8.8%
Second new ball (81+)	530	220	6	36.67	2.49	88.3	77.2%	4.7%
New ball (1-20)	198	115	4	28.75	3.48	49.5	73.7%	8.1%