Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 255.0, 170.5 above their strike rate of 84.5 on all balls bowled (+202%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 510 balls bowled.

Sample: 510 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 80.8, 35.6 above their average of 45.1 on all balls bowled (+79%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 641 balls bowled.

Sample: 641 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 73.2, 28.1 above their average of 45.1 on all balls bowled (+62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 534 balls bowled.

Sample: 534 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 73.2, 28.1 above their average of 45.1 on all balls bowled (+62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 534 balls bowled.

Sample: 534 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 197.0, 151.9 above their average of 45.1 on all balls bowled (+336%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 354 balls bowled.

Sample: 354 balls · low confidence

Second new ball (81+): economy of 3.91, 0.70 above their economy of 3.21 on all balls bowled (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 301 balls bowled.

Sample: 301 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 20.7, 24.4 below their average of 45.1 on all balls bowled (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 379 balls bowled.

Sample: 379 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 26.5, 18.6 below their average of 45.1 on all balls bowled (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 469 balls bowled.

Sample: 469 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 53.1, 31.4 below their strike rate of 84.5 on all balls bowled (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 372 balls bowled.

Sample: 372 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): economy of 2.86, 0.35 below their economy of 3.21 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 510 balls bowled.

Sample: 510 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 33.9, 11.2 below their average of 45.1 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 649 balls bowled.

Sample: 649 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 30.9, 14.2 below their average of 45.1 on all balls bowled (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 542 balls bowled.

Sample: 542 balls · medium confidence