Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): average of 25.0, 11.1 below their average of 36.1 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 406 balls faced.

Sample: 406 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 40.8, 4.8 below their strike rate of 45.6 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 306 balls faced.

Sample: 306 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 42.2, 3.4 below their strike rate of 45.6 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 289 balls faced.

Sample: 289 balls · medium confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 66, 13 below their balls per dismissal of 79 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 399 balls faced.

Sample: 399 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 20.2, 15.9 below their average of 36.1 on all balls faced (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 199 balls faced.

Sample: 199 balls · low confidence

England: average of 20.2, 15.9 below their average of 36.1 on all balls faced (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 199 balls faced.

Sample: 199 balls · low confidence

Right-arm medium: average of 19.8, 16.4 below their average of 36.1 on all balls faced (-45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 179 balls faced.

Sample: 179 balls · low confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 125.0, 88.9 above their average of 36.1 on all balls faced (+246%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 306 balls faced.

Sample: 306 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 49.3, 3.6 above their strike rate of 45.6 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 406 balls faced.

Sample: 406 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 62.0, 25.9 above their average of 36.1 on all balls faced (+72%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 244 balls faced.

Sample: 244 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 186, 107 above their balls per dismissal of 79 on all balls faced (+135%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 186 balls faced.

Sample: 186 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 52.5, 16.4 above their average of 36.1 on all balls faced (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 196 balls faced.

Sample: 196 balls · low confidence