Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Mohammad Abbas, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 21.4, 5.0 below their strike rate of 26.5 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 387 balls faced.
Sample: 387 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 27, 8 below their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 294 balls faced.
Sample: 294 balls · medium confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 8.3, 0.9 below their average of 9.2 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 387 balls faced.
Sample: 387 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 7.2, 2.1 below their average of 9.2 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 179 balls faced.
Sample: 179 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 52, 17 above their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 519 balls faced.
Sample: 519 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 33.3, 6.9 above their strike rate of 26.5 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 432 balls faced.
Sample: 432 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 9.8, 0.6 above their average of 9.2 on all balls faced (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 728 balls faced.
Sample: 728 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 12.0, 2.8 above their average of 9.2 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 416 balls faced.
Sample: 416 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 11.0, 1.8 above their average of 9.2 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 239 balls faced.
Sample: 239 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast: strike rate of 41.9, 15.5 above their strike rate of 26.5 on all balls faced (+58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 155 balls faced.
Sample: 155 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

New Zealand: average of 45.2, 22.5 above their average of 22.7 on all balls bowled (+99%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 804 balls bowled.
Sample: 804 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 2.89, 0.32 above their economy of 2.58 on all balls bowled (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1445 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,445 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 25.3, 2.6 above their average of 22.7 on all balls bowled (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 4423 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,423 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 31.8, 9.1 above their average of 22.7 on all balls bowled (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 864 balls bowled.
Sample: 864 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 31.8, 9.1 above their average of 22.7 on all balls bowled (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 864 balls bowled.
Sample: 864 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 45.0, 22.3 above their average of 22.7 on all balls bowled (+98%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 456 balls bowled.
Sample: 456 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Old ball (21-80): economy of 2.43, 0.15 below their economy of 2.58 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 3184 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,184 balls · high confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 17.6, 5.1 below their average of 22.7 on all balls bowled (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1257 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,257 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 18.9, 3.7 below their average of 22.7 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 2492 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	416	108	9	12.00	25.96	86.5%	3.8%
Right-arm fast	155	65	7	9.29	41.94	78.7%	5.8%
Left-arm fast-medium	79	10	2	5.00	12.66	94.9%	1.3%
Slow left-arm orthodox	72	3	4	0.75	4.17	93.1%	0.0%
Off break	69	33	1	33.00	47.83	81.2%	7.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	432	144	15	9.60	33.33	84.7%	4.9%
Second new ball (81+)	387	83	10	8.30

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	4,423	1,948	77	25.30	2.64	57.4	78.5%	5.6%
Left-handed batters	2,492	1,023	54	18.94	2.46	46.1	80.7%	5.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	3,184	1,291	57	22.65	2.43	55.9	79.6%	5.2%
New ball (1-20)	2,286	983	44	22.34	2.58	52.0	80.6%	5.6%
Second new ball (81+)	1,445	697	30	23.23	2.89	48.2	76.3%	5.9%