Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 92.2, 26.2 above their strike rate of 66.0 on all balls bowled (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 830 balls bowled.

Sample: 830 balls · high confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 47.6, 5.6 above their average of 42.0 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1124 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,124 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): economy of 4.40, 0.59 above their economy of 3.82 on all balls bowled (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 492 balls bowled.

Sample: 492 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 67.7, 25.7 above their average of 42.0 on all balls bowled (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 624 balls bowled.

Sample: 624 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 67.7, 25.7 above their average of 42.0 on all balls bowled (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 624 balls bowled.

Sample: 624 balls · medium confidence

Bangladesh: average of 72.5, 30.5 above their average of 42.0 on all balls bowled (+73%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 330 balls bowled.

Sample: 330 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 32.9, 9.1 below their average of 42.0 on all balls bowled (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 895 balls bowled.

Sample: 895 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): economy of 3.54, 0.27 below their economy of 3.82 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 830 balls bowled.

Sample: 830 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 22.2, 19.8 below their average of 42.0 on all balls bowled (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 413 balls bowled.

Sample: 413 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 22.2, 19.8 below their average of 42.0 on all balls bowled (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 413 balls bowled.

Sample: 413 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 31.5, 10.5 below their average of 42.0 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 395 balls bowled.

Sample: 395 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 61.5, 4.5 below their strike rate of 66.0 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 492 balls bowled.

Sample: 492 balls · medium confidence