Plans built only from the evidence.

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 33, 14 below their balls per dismissal of 47 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 830 balls faced.

Sample: 830 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 10.1, 13.0 below their average of 23.1 on all balls faced (-56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 317 balls faced.

Sample: 317 balls · medium confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 31.9, 16.9 below their strike rate of 48.8 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 317 balls faced.

Sample: 317 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 40.2, 8.6 below their strike rate of 48.8 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 259 balls faced.

Sample: 259 balls · medium confidence

Off break: strike rate of 43.6, 5.1 below their strike rate of 48.8 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 637 balls faced.

Sample: 637 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 21.9, 1.2 below their average of 23.1 on all balls faced (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 890 balls faced.

Sample: 890 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 21.9, 1.2 below their average of 23.1 on all balls faced (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 890 balls faced.

Sample: 890 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 17.3, 5.7 below their average of 23.1 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 259 balls faced.

Sample: 259 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 15.1, 8.0 below their average of 23.1 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 378 balls faced.

Sample: 378 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 43.9, 4.9 below their strike rate of 48.8 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 378 balls faced.

Sample: 378 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 48.6, 25.6 above their average of 23.1 on all balls faced (+111%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1205 balls faced.

Sample: 1,205 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 56.1, 7.3 above their strike rate of 48.8 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 815 balls faced.

Sample: 815 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 44.8, 21.7 above their average of 23.1 on all balls faced (+94%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 1584 balls faced.

Sample: 1,584 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 62, 14 above their balls per dismissal of 47 on all balls faced (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1421 balls faced.

Sample: 1,421 balls · high confidence

Leg break: strike rate of 70.9, 22.1 above their strike rate of 48.8 on all balls faced (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 302 balls faced.

Sample: 302 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 63.1, 14.3 above their strike rate of 48.8 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 298 balls faced.

Sample: 298 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 26.0, 2.9 above their average of 23.1 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 2049 balls faced.

Sample: 2,049 balls · high confidence

Leg break: average of 42.8, 19.7 above their average of 23.1 on all balls faced (+85%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 302 balls faced.

Sample: 302 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: average of 31.3, 8.3 above their average of 23.1 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 298 balls faced.

Sample: 298 balls · medium confidence