Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Mohammad Nawaz, Men's Test

Old ball (21-80): average of 11.1, 4.9 below their average of 16.0 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 205 balls faced.
Sample: 205 balls · low confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 38.0, 3.6 below their strike rate of 41.6 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 205 balls faced.
Sample: 205 balls · low confidence

No batting strength clears the thresholds in this format.

Right-handed batters: average of 42.2, 11.2 above their average of 31.0 on all balls bowled (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 723 balls bowled.
Sample: 723 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 27.2, 3.8 below their average of 31.0 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 827 balls bowled.
Sample: 827 balls · high confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	111	65	2	32.50	58.56	69.4%	7.2%
Leg break	77	19	3	6.33	24.68	84.4%	2.6%
Slow left-arm orthodox	67	24	2	12.00	35.82	74.6%	1.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	205	78	7	11.14	38.05	77.6%	4.4%
Second new ball (81+)	141	66	2	33.00	46.81	73.0%	4.3%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	723	380	9	42.22	3.15	80.3	71.6%	5.4%
Left-handed batters	236	116	7	16.57	2.95	33.7	67.4%	3.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	612	310	10	31.00	3.04	61.2	71.7%	4.9%
Second new ball (81+)	197	94	3	31.33	2.86	65.7	70.6%	4.6%
New ball (1-20)	150	92	3	30.67	3.68	50.0	66.0%	5.3%