Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

N Dickwella, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 57.6, 8.8 below their strike rate of 66.4 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1001 balls faced.
Sample: 1,001 balls · high confidence
Off break: average of 25.8, 5.2 below their average of 31.0 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 899 balls faced.
Sample: 899 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 27.9, 3.1 below their average of 31.0 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 2678 balls faced.
Sample: 2,678 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 26.2, 4.8 below their average of 31.0 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1001 balls faced.
Sample: 1,001 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 19.3, 11.7 below their average of 31.0 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 178 balls faced.
Sample: 178 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

United Arab Emirates: average of 65.3, 34.3 above their average of 31.0 on all balls faced (+111%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 267 balls faced.
Sample: 267 balls · medium confidence
Left-arm fast-medium: average of 89.5, 58.5 above their average of 31.0 on all balls faced (+189%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 267 balls faced.
Sample: 267 balls · medium confidence
Leg break: average of 89.0, 58.0 above their average of 31.0 on all balls faced (+187%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 372 balls faced.
Sample: 372 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 36.0, 5.0 above their average of 31.0 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 586 balls faced.
Sample: 586 balls · high confidence
Off break: strike rate of 71.9, 5.4 above their strike rate of 66.4 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 899 balls faced.
Sample: 899 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): average of 44.0, 13.0 above their average of 31.0 on all balls faced (+42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 188 balls faced.
Sample: 188 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	1,001	577	22	26.23	57.64	69.7%	7.3%
Off break	899	646	25	25.84	71.86	59.3%	6.9%
Slow left-arm orthodox	757	466	14	33.29	61.56	59.7%	5.5%
Right-arm fast	682	450	15	30.00	65.98	67.9%	9.2%
Leg break	372	267	3	89.00	71.77	54.6%	6.2%
Left-arm fast-medium	267	179	2	89.50	67.04	65.9%	8.6%
Left-arm fast	134	130	6	21.67	97.01	61.9%	14.9%
Right-arm medium	104	67	3	22.33	64.42	74.0%	9.6%
Left-arm wrist spin	78	71	2

Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	2,678	1,729	62	27.89	64.56	65.1%	7.5%
Second new ball (81+)	1,429	992	27	36.74	69.42	60.1%	7.3%
New ball (1-20)	188	132	3	44.00	70.21	66.5%	10.6%