Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

N Wagner, Men's Test

Full profile →

Bowling to them: where to attack

Away from home: average of 9.3, 5.2 below their average of 14.6 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 674 balls faced.
Sample: 674 balls · high confidence
Spin: average of 9.8, 4.8 below their average of 14.6 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 670 balls faced.
Sample: 670 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 23, 5 below their balls per dismissal of 28 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 622 balls faced.
Sample: 622 balls · high confidence
Off break: strike rate of 34.7, 17.2 below their strike rate of 51.9 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 404 balls faced.
Sample: 404 balls · medium confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 13.3, 1.3 below their average of 14.6 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 850 balls faced.
Sample: 850 balls · high confidence
Off break: average of 10.8, 3.8 below their average of 14.6 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 404 balls faced.
Sample: 404 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 9.6, 5.0 below their average of 14.6 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 231 balls faced.
Sample: 231 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 17.5, 3.0 above their average of 14.6 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1017 balls faced.
Sample: 1,017 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 18.9, 4.3 above their average of 14.6 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 1013 balls faced.
Sample: 1,013 balls · high confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 33, 5 above their balls per dismissal of 28 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 898 balls faced.
Sample: 898 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 57.6, 5.7 above their strike rate of 51.9 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 587 balls faced.
Sample: 587 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 18.9, 4.3 above their average of 14.6 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1013 balls faced.
Sample: 1,013 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast: strike rate of 74.6, 22.7 above their strike rate of 51.9 on all balls faced (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 287 balls faced.
Sample: 287 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 21.0, 6.4 above their average of 14.6 on all balls faced (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 244 balls faced.
Sample: 244 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast: average of 21.4, 6.8 above their average of 14.6 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 287 balls faced.
Sample: 287 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

New ball (1-20): economy of 3.36, 0.23 above their economy of 3.13 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 2052 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,052 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 37.8, 10.2 above their average of 27.6 on all balls bowled (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1146 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,146 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 70.8, 18.0 above their strike rate of 52.8 on all balls bowled (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2052 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,052 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 35.9, 8.3 above their average of 27.6 on all balls bowled (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 618 balls bowled.
Sample: 618 balls · medium confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 40.0, 12.4 above their average of 27.6 on all balls bowled (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 408 balls bowled.
Sample: 408 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 36.3, 16.5 below their strike rate of 52.8 on all balls bowled (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 2648 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,648 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 22.8, 4.8 below their average of 27.6 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 945 balls bowled.
Sample: 945 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 23.0, 4.5 below their average of 27.6 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 1246 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,246 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 21.1, 6.5 below their average of 27.6 on all balls bowled (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 1592 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	587	338	23	14.70	57.58	76.0%	8.9%
Off break	404	140	13	10.77	34.65	82.9%	4.0%
Right-arm fast	287	214	10	21.40	74.56	74.6%	13.2%
Slow left-arm orthodox	183	68	5	13.60	37.16	85.2%	5.5%
Leg break	83	18	5	3.60	21.69	81.9%	0.0%
Left-arm fast-medium	66	39	2	19.50	59.09	75.8%	9.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Second new ball (81+)	850	453	34	13.32

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	9,146	4,744	177	26.80	3.11	51.7	75.8%	7.0%
Left-handed batters	4,579	2,425	83	29.22	3.18	55.2	74.6%	7.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	9,025	4,634	158	29.33	3.08	57.1	75.2%	6.8%
Second new ball (81+)	2,648	1,386	73	18.99	3.14	36.3	75.9%	7.4%
New ball (1-20)	2,052	1,149	29	39.62	3.36	70.8	75.7%	7.7%