Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Naeem Islam, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 30.5, 8.0 below their strike rate of 38.5 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 262 balls faced.
Sample: 262 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 69, 41 below their balls per dismissal of 110 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 208 balls faced.
Sample: 208 balls · low confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 56, 54 below their balls per dismissal of 110 on all balls faced (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 169 balls faced.
Sample: 169 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 206, 95 above their balls per dismissal of 110 on all balls faced (+86%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 617 balls faced.
Sample: 617 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 53.1, 10.6 above their average of 42.6 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 978 balls faced.
Sample: 978 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 50.8, 8.2 above their average of 42.6 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 501 balls faced.
Sample: 501 balls · high confidence
England: average of 68.0, 25.4 above their average of 42.6 on all balls faced (+60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 359 balls faced.
Sample: 359 balls · medium confidence
Off break: strike rate of 47.1, 8.5 above their strike rate of 38.5 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 306 balls faced.
Sample: 306 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 72.0, 29.4 above their average of 42.6 on all balls faced (+69%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 306 balls faced.
Sample: 306 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm medium: average of 61.0, 18.4 above their average of 42.6 on all balls faced (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 158 balls faced.
Sample: 158 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

No bowling weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

Batting against them: where they are strongest

No bowling strength clears the thresholds in this format.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	306	144	2	72.00	47.06	75.8%	5.9%
Right-arm fast-medium	262	80	0	–	30.53	86.6%	5.0%
Right-arm medium	158	61	1	61.00	38.61	78.5%	5.1%
Right-arm fast	112	43	4	10.75	38.39	78.6%	5.4%
Leg break	93	37	1	37.00	39.78	77.4%	4.3%
Slow left-arm orthodox	63	18	1	18.00	28.57	85.7%	4.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	501	203	4	50.75	40.52

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Left-handed batters	313	177	0	–	3.39	–	66.5%	5.4%
Right-handed batters	171	99	0	–	3.47	–	57.9%	3.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	258	135	0	–	3.14	–	64.7%	3.1%
Second new ball (81+)	156	100	0	–	3.85	–	58.3%	6.4%