Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Nayeem Hasan, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Second new ball (81+): average of 9.7, 6.1 below their average of 15.8 on all balls faced (-39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 277 balls faced.
Sample: 277 balls · medium confidence
Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 35.0, 7.8 below their strike rate of 42.8 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 277 balls faced.
Sample: 277 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 28, 8 below their balls per dismissal of 37 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 256 balls faced.
Sample: 256 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 7.4, 8.3 below their average of 15.8 on all balls faced (-53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 157 balls faced.
Sample: 157 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Spin: average of 23.0, 7.2 above their average of 15.8 on all balls faced (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 494 balls faced.
Sample: 494 balls · high confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 72, 36 above their balls per dismissal of 37 on all balls faced (+97%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 290 balls faced.
Sample: 290 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 42.3, 26.6 above their average of 15.8 on all balls faced (+168%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 262 balls faced.
Sample: 262 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 48.6, 5.8 above their strike rate of 42.8 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 385 balls faced.
Sample: 385 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 23.4, 7.6 above their average of 15.8 on all balls faced (+48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 385 balls faced.
Sample: 385 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 48.5, 5.7 above their strike rate of 42.8 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 262 balls faced.
Sample: 262 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Old ball (21-80): economy of 3.28, 0.18 above their economy of 3.10 on all balls bowled (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1607 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,607 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: economy of 3.30, 0.20 above their economy of 3.10 on all balls bowled (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1674 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,674 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 64.3, 10.0 above their strike rate of 54.3 on all balls bowled (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1607 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,607 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 30.1, 2.0 above their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 901 balls bowled.
Sample: 901 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Left-handed batters: economy of 2.75, 0.35 below their economy of 3.10 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 933 balls bowled.
Sample: 933 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 2.81, 0.30 below their economy of 3.10 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 562 balls bowled.
Sample: 562 balls · medium confidence
Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 35.1, 19.2 below their strike rate of 54.3 on all balls bowled (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 562 balls bowled.
Sample: 562 balls · medium confidence
New ball (1-20): economy of 2.84, 0.27 below their economy of 3.10 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 438 balls bowled.
Sample: 438 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Slow left-arm orthodox	262	127	3	42.33	48.47	71.8%	5.0%
Off break	208	92	4	23.00	44.23	67.8%	1.9%
Right-arm fast-medium	109	38	4	9.50	34.86	78.0%	4.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	385	187	8	23.38	48.57	69.4%	4.2%
Second new ball (81+)	277	97	10	9.70	35.02	76.2%	2.9%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,674	921	32	28.78	3.30	52.3	69.1%	5.9%
Left-handed batters	933	428	16	26.75	2.75	58.3	74.5%	4.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	1,607	879	25	35.16	3.28	64.3	70.0%	6.0%
Second new ball (81+)	562	263	16	16.44	2.81	35.1	72.2%	4.4%
New ball (1-20)	438	207	7	29.57	2.84	62.6	73.3%	4.8%