Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

NM Lyon, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 34.9, 14.8 below their strike rate of 49.7 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 650 balls faced.
Sample: 650 balls · high confidence
Spin: average of 11.3, 1.9 below their average of 13.2 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 1372 balls faced.
Sample: 1,372 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 21, 5 below their balls per dismissal of 27 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1090 balls faced.
Sample: 1,090 balls · high confidence
Off break: average of 10.2, 3.0 below their average of 13.2 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 517 balls faced.
Sample: 517 balls · high confidence
Off break: strike rate of 41.4, 8.3 below their strike rate of 49.7 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 517 balls faced.
Sample: 517 balls · high confidence
India: average of 9.4, 3.8 below their average of 13.2 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 486 balls faced.
Sample: 486 balls · high confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 69.6, 19.9 above their strike rate of 49.7 on all balls faced (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 680 balls faced.
Sample: 680 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 16.8, 3.6 above their average of 13.2 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1079 balls faced.
Sample: 1,079 balls · high confidence
Pace: average of 14.2, 1.1 above their average of 13.2 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 2182 balls faced.
Sample: 2,182 balls · high confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 30, 3 above their balls per dismissal of 27 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 2054 balls faced.
Sample: 2,054 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

United Arab Emirates: average of 53.8, 23.5 above their average of 30.3 on all balls bowled (+77%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1547 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,547 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: economy of 3.07, 0.14 above their economy of 2.94 on all balls bowled (+5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 24281 balls bowled.
Sample: 24,281 balls · high confidence
Pakistan: average of 42.1, 11.8 above their average of 30.3 on all balls bowled (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 4818 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,818 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 40.4, 10.1 above their average of 30.3 on all balls bowled (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 2855 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,855 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 33.5, 3.1 above their average of 30.3 on all balls bowled (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 24281 balls bowled.
Sample: 24,281 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 41.1, 10.7 above their average of 30.3 on all balls bowled (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 5327 balls bowled.
Sample: 5,327 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Bangladesh: average of 14.3, 16.0 below their average of 30.3 on all balls bowled (-53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 803 balls bowled.
Sample: 803 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 18.9, 11.5 below their average of 30.3 on all balls bowled (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2344 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,344 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 2.65, 0.29 below their economy of 2.94 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 11491 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	1,079	554	33	16.79	51.34	75.3%	7.2%
Right-arm fast	680	473	37	12.78	69.56	69.6%	10.0%
Slow left-arm orthodox	650	227	19	11.95	34.92	81.4%	4.3%
Off break	517	214	21	10.19	41.39	75.2%	3.9%
Right-arm medium	200	104	9	11.56	52.00	75.5%	9.0%
Left-arm fast-medium	181	57	7	8.14	31.49	85.1%	4.4%
Leg break	170	73	4	18.25	42.94	77.6%	5.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	24,281	12,444	372	33.45	3.07	65.3	71.3%	5.3%
Left-handed batters	11,491	5,067	205	24.72	2.65	56.1	77.4%	5.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	23,348	11,524	376	30.65	2.96	62.1	73.0%	5.4%
Second new ball (81+)	6,709	3,359	122	27.53	3.00	55.0	72.8%	5.3%
New ball (1-20)	5,715	2,628	79	33.27	2.76	72.3	74.6%	4.9%

Second new ball (81+)	1,728	858	63	13.62	49.65	75.9%	6.7%
Old ball (21-80)	1,550	798	61	13.08	51.48	74.5%	7.2%
New ball (1-20)	276	110	10	11.00	39.86	80.4%	4.3%