Plans built only from the evidence.

Away from home: average of 44.9, 19.2 above their average of 25.7 on all balls bowled (+75%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 523 balls bowled.

Sample: 523 balls · medium confidence

Bangladesh: average of 30.3, 4.6 above their average of 25.7 on all balls bowled (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 690 balls bowled.

Sample: 690 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 4.02, 1.11 above their economy of 2.92 on all balls bowled (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 258 balls bowled.

Sample: 258 balls · low confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 57.7, 32.0 above their average of 25.7 on all balls bowled (+125%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 258 balls bowled.

Sample: 258 balls · low confidence

At home: average of 18.2, 7.5 below their average of 25.7 on all balls bowled (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 797 balls bowled.

Sample: 797 balls · high confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 2.65, 0.27 below their economy of 2.92 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1062 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,062 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 44.5, 8.3 below their strike rate of 52.8 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 979 balls bowled.

Sample: 979 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 18.2, 7.5 below their average of 25.7 on all balls bowled (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 797 balls bowled.

Sample: 797 balls · high confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 21.3, 4.4 below their average of 25.7 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1062 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,062 balls · high confidence