Plans built only from the evidence.

Spin: average of 37.8, 8.6 below their average of 46.4 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 454 balls faced.

Sample: 454 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 47.4, 6.1 below their strike rate of 53.4 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 796 balls faced.

Sample: 796 balls · high confidence

India: average of 34.7, 11.7 below their average of 46.4 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 504 balls faced.

Sample: 504 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 20.3, 26.1 below their average of 46.4 on all balls faced (-56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 270 balls faced.

Sample: 270 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 45.2, 8.2 below their strike rate of 53.4 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 270 balls faced.

Sample: 270 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 62, 25 below their balls per dismissal of 87 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 249 balls faced.

Sample: 249 balls · medium confidence

Off break: strike rate of 46.6, 6.8 below their strike rate of 53.4 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 283 balls faced.

Sample: 283 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 106.0, 59.6 above their average of 46.4 on all balls faced (+128%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 535 balls faced.

Sample: 535 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 59.7, 6.3 above their strike rate of 53.4 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 769 balls faced.

Sample: 769 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 50.8, 4.3 above their average of 46.4 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1111 balls faced.

Sample: 1,111 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 122.5, 76.1 above their average of 46.4 on all balls faced (+164%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 404 balls faced.

Sample: 404 balls · medium confidence

Off break: average of 132.0, 85.6 above their average of 46.4 on all balls faced (+184%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 283 balls faced.

Sample: 283 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 60.6, 7.2 above their strike rate of 53.4 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 404 balls faced.

Sample: 404 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 106, 19 above their balls per dismissal of 87 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 318 balls faced.

Sample: 318 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: average of 56.0, 9.6 above their average of 46.4 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 323 balls faced.

Sample: 323 balls · medium confidence