Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 23.2, 6.2 below their strike rate of 29.4 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 280 balls faced.

Sample: 280 balls · medium confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 80, 8 below their balls per dismissal of 88 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 321 balls faced.

Sample: 321 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 32.5, 6.5 above their average of 26.0 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 280 balls faced.

Sample: 280 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 68.0, 42.0 above their average of 26.0 on all balls faced (+162%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 210 balls faced.

Sample: 210 balls · low confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 32.4, 2.9 above their strike rate of 29.4 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 210 balls faced.

Sample: 210 balls · low confidence