Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 41.6, 5.6 below their strike rate of 47.2 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1008 balls faced.

Sample: 1,008 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 35.8, 11.4 below their strike rate of 47.2 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 467 balls faced.

Sample: 467 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 19.9, 6.9 below their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 780 balls faced.

Sample: 780 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 24.6, 2.1 below their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1008 balls faced.

Sample: 1,008 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 23.0, 3.7 below their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 624 balls faced.

Sample: 624 balls · high confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 38, 19 below their balls per dismissal of 57 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 339 balls faced.

Sample: 339 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 16.2, 10.6 below their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 211 balls faced.

Sample: 211 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 17.0, 9.7 below their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 151 balls faced.

Sample: 151 balls · low confidence

At home: average of 38.4, 11.7 above their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 751 balls faced.

Sample: 751 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 73, 16 above their balls per dismissal of 57 on all balls faced (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 800 balls faced.

Sample: 800 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 59.2, 12.0 above their strike rate of 47.2 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 284 balls faced.

Sample: 284 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 61.0, 13.9 above their strike rate of 47.2 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 331 balls faced.

Sample: 331 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 67.5, 40.8 above their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (+152%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 239 balls faced.

Sample: 239 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 47.0, 20.3 above their average of 26.7 on all balls faced (+76%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 319 balls faced.

Sample: 319 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 56.5, 9.3 above their strike rate of 47.2 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 239 balls faced.

Sample: 239 balls · medium confidence