Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

PR Stirling, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 53.7, 10.1 below their strike rate of 63.8 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 324 balls faced.
Sample: 324 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 23, 17 below their balls per dismissal of 41 on all balls faced (-42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 211 balls faced.
Sample: 211 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 15.6, 10.4 below their average of 25.9 on all balls faced (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 171 balls faced.
Sample: 171 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Away from home: average of 29.6, 3.6 above their average of 25.9 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 518 balls faced.
Sample: 518 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 76.3, 12.4 above their strike rate of 63.8 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 278 balls faced.
Sample: 278 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 34.8, 8.9 above their average of 25.9 on all balls faced (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 276 balls faced.
Sample: 276 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 108, 68 above their balls per dismissal of 41 on all balls faced (+167%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 217 balls faced.
Sample: 217 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 52.0, 26.1 above their average of 25.9 on all balls faced (+100%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 186 balls faced.
Sample: 186 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 52.0, 26.1 above their average of 25.9 on all balls faced (+100%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 186 balls faced.
Sample: 186 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Slow left-arm orthodox	183	124	5	24.80	67.76	68.3%	9.8%
Right-arm fast-medium	171	109	7	15.57	63.74	70.2%	9.4%
Right-arm medium	112	88	3	29.33	78.57	65.2%	12.5%
Left-arm fast-medium	79	43	1	43.00	54.43	67.1%	6.3%
Off break	75	41	0	–	54.67	76.0%	5.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	324	174	7	24.86	53.70	72.5%	6.5%
New ball (1-20)	278	212	8	26.50