Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 40.2, 7.2 below their strike rate of 47.4 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 356 balls faced.

Sample: 356 balls · medium confidence

Bangladesh: average of 14.5, 5.2 below their average of 19.7 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +22%) — 171 balls faced.

Sample: 171 balls · low confidence

Pace: average of 12.9, 6.9 below their average of 19.7 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 169 balls faced.

Sample: 169 balls · low confidence

Off break: strike rate of 38.4, 9.0 below their strike rate of 47.4 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 185 balls faced.

Sample: 185 balls · low confidence

Spin: average of 31.8, 12.0 above their average of 19.7 on all balls faced (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 289 balls faced.

Sample: 289 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 85, 43 above their balls per dismissal of 42 on all balls faced (+104%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 170 balls faced.

Sample: 170 balls · low confidence

Off break: average of 35.5, 15.8 above their average of 19.7 on all balls faced (+80%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 185 balls faced.

Sample: 185 balls · low confidence