Plans built only from the evidence.

Off break: average of 32.1, 15.8 below their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 874 balls faced.

Sample: 874 balls · high confidence

England: average of 28.9, 18.9 below their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 571 balls faced.

Sample: 571 balls · high confidence

Spin: average of 38.5, 9.3 below their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 1292 balls faced.

Sample: 1,292 balls · high confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 54, 21 below their balls per dismissal of 74 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 590 balls faced.

Sample: 590 balls · high confidence

Off break: strike rate of 55.0, 9.3 below their strike rate of 64.3 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 874 balls faced.

Sample: 874 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 60.4, 3.8 below their strike rate of 64.3 on all balls faced (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1916 balls faced.

Sample: 1,916 balls · high confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 65, 10 below their balls per dismissal of 74 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 646 balls faced.

Sample: 646 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 25.6, 22.3 below their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 369 balls faced.

Sample: 369 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 36.3, 11.5 below their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 343 balls faced.

Sample: 343 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 38.2, 9.6 below their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 265 balls faced.

Sample: 265 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 25.2, 22.6 below their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 221 balls faced.

Sample: 221 balls · low confidence

Pace: average of 59.1, 11.3 above their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1589 balls faced.

Sample: 1,589 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 75.2, 27.4 above their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (+57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 537 balls faced.

Sample: 537 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 63.7, 15.8 above their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1139 balls faced.

Sample: 1,139 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 77.4, 13.1 above their strike rate of 64.3 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 616 balls faced.

Sample: 616 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 68.1, 20.3 above their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (+42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 616 balls faced.

Sample: 616 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 92, 18 above their balls per dismissal of 74 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1665 balls faced.

Sample: 1,665 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 100.7, 52.8 above their average of 47.8 on all balls faced (+111%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 333 balls faced.

Sample: 333 balls · medium confidence