Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

RO Hinds, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Spin: average of 13.1, 3.8 below their average of 16.9 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 326 balls faced.
Sample: 326 balls · medium confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 38, 10 below their balls per dismissal of 48 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 227 balls faced.
Sample: 227 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 32.2, 3.1 below their strike rate of 35.2 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 407 balls faced.
Sample: 407 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 14.9, 2.0 below their average of 16.9 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 391 balls faced.
Sample: 391 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 14.6, 2.4 below their average of 16.9 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 407 balls faced.
Sample: 407 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 28.7, 6.6 below their strike rate of 35.2 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 164 balls faced.
Sample: 164 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 28.3, 11.4 above their average of 16.9 on all balls faced (+67%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 250 balls faced.
Sample: 250 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 21.2, 4.2 above their average of 16.9 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 356 balls faced.
Sample: 356 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 82, 34 above their balls per dismissal of 48 on all balls faced (+71%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 164 balls faced.
Sample: 164 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: average of 77.0, 17.1 above their average of 59.9 on all balls bowled (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 830 balls bowled.
Sample: 830 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 168.8, 60.9 above their strike rate of 107.8 on all balls bowled (+57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 675 balls bowled.
Sample: 675 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 104.0, 44.1 above their average of 59.9 on all balls bowled (+74%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 653 balls bowled.
Sample: 653 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 104.0, 44.1 above their average of 59.9 on all balls bowled (+74%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 653 balls bowled.
Sample: 653 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

England: average of 54.4, 5.5 below their average of 59.9 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 988 balls bowled.
Sample: 988 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 3.03, 0.30 below their economy of 3.33 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 475 balls bowled.
Sample: 475 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 39.4, 20.5 below their average of 59.9 on all balls bowled (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 356 balls bowled.
Sample: 356 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	259	96	6	16.00	37.07	82.6%	4.6%
Right-arm fast-medium	164	47	3	15.67	28.66	86.0%	4.3%
Slow left-arm orthodox	67	22	3	7.33	32.84	77.6%	1.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	407	131	9	14.56	32.19	81.8%	3.7%
Second new ball (81+)	135	60	3	20.00	44.44	80.7%	6.7%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	830	462	6	77.00	3.34	138.3	67.0%	5.5%
Left-handed batters	356	197	5	39.40	3.32	71.2	64.6%	3.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	675	390	4	97.50	3.47	168.8	66.4%	5.8%
Second new ball (81+)	475	240	5	48.00	3.03	95.0	67.4%	3.8%