Plans built only from the evidence.

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 35.0, 19.0 below their strike rate of 53.9 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 575 balls faced.

Sample: 575 balls · high confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 53, 25 below their balls per dismissal of 78 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 954 balls faced.

Sample: 954 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 28.3, 13.7 below their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1123 balls faced.

Sample: 1,123 balls · high confidence

India: average of 23.8, 18.1 below their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (-43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 520 balls faced.

Sample: 520 balls · high confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 53, 24 below their balls per dismissal of 78 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 801 balls faced.

Sample: 801 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 27.6, 14.4 below their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 1314 balls faced.

Sample: 1,314 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 33.5, 8.4 below their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 575 balls faced.

Sample: 575 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 34.1, 7.8 below their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1900 balls faced.

Sample: 1,900 balls · high confidence

Australia: average of 20.3, 21.6 below their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (-52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 225 balls faced.

Sample: 225 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 26.7, 15.3 below their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 264 balls faced.

Sample: 264 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 37.0, 4.9 below their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 448 balls faced.

Sample: 448 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 13.3, 28.6 below their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (-68%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 195 balls faced.

Sample: 195 balls · low confidence

England: average of 65.6, 23.6 above their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (+56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1800 balls faced.

Sample: 1,800 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 57.2, 15.3 above their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 2983 balls faced.

Sample: 2,983 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 77.8, 35.8 above their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (+85%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 663 balls faced.

Sample: 663 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 107, 29 above their balls per dismissal of 78 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2990 balls faced.

Sample: 2,990 balls · high confidence

Spin: average of 52.7, 10.8 above their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 1755 balls faced.

Sample: 1,755 balls · high confidence

Off break: average of 55.5, 13.6 above their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 815 balls faced.

Sample: 815 balls · high confidence

Leg break: average of 89.0, 47.1 above their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (+112%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 337 balls faced.

Sample: 337 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 66.1, 12.2 above their strike rate of 53.9 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 448 balls faced.

Sample: 448 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: average of 61.0, 19.1 above their average of 41.9 on all balls faced (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 439 balls faced.

Sample: 439 balls · medium confidence