Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

RTM Mendis, Men's Test

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 23, 18 below their balls per dismissal of 40 on all balls faced (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 248 balls faced.
Sample: 248 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 11.6, 6.1 below their average of 17.7 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 242 balls faced.
Sample: 242 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 74, 34 above their balls per dismissal of 40 on all balls faced (+84%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 371 balls faced.
Sample: 371 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 29.0, 11.3 above their average of 17.7 on all balls faced (+63%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 384 balls faced.
Sample: 384 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 44, 4 above their balls per dismissal of 40 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 310 balls faced.
Sample: 310 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 33.0, 15.3 above their average of 17.7 on all balls faced (+86%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 217 balls faced.
Sample: 217 balls · low confidence

New ball (1-20): economy of 3.73, 0.55 above their economy of 3.18 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 904 balls bowled.
Sample: 904 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 54.4, 23.3 above their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (+75%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 774 balls bowled.
Sample: 774 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 192.0, 160.8 above their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (+516%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 420 balls bowled.
Sample: 420 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 192.0, 160.8 above their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (+516%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 420 balls bowled.
Sample: 420 balls · medium confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 33.6, 2.4 above their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 2742 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,742 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): economy of 3.02, 0.16 below their economy of 3.18 on all balls bowled (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2631 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,631 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 15.3, 15.9 below their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (-51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 644 balls bowled.
Sample: 644 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 27.5, 3.7 below their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1431 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,431 balls · high confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Slow left-arm orthodox	242	93	8	11.63	38.43	78.5%	4.5%
Off break	217	99	3	33.00	45.62	69.6%	3.2%
Leg break	197	93	4	23.25	47.21	76.1%	5.6%
Right-arm fast	118	48	3	16.00	40.68	72.9%	3.4%
Right-arm fast-medium	78	35	2	17.50	44.87	80.8%	7.7%
Left-arm fast	61	34	2	17.00	55.74	70.5%	4.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	503	226	12	18.83	44.93

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,742	1,443	43	33.56	3.16	63.8	66.3%	5.0%
Left-handed batters	1,431	769	28	27.46	3.22	51.1	70.8%	6.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	2,631	1,326	45	29.47	3.02	58.5	68.0%	5.0%
New ball (1-20)	904	562	13	43.23	3.73	69.5	67.9%	7.6%
Second new ball (81+)	638	324	13	24.92	3.05	49.1	66.9%	4.5%