Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Rubel Hossain, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Away from home: average of 7.2, 2.3 below their average of 9.5 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 356 balls faced.
Sample: 356 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 40.7, 3.2 below their strike rate of 43.9 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 312 balls faced.
Sample: 312 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 15, 6 below their balls per dismissal of 22 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 169 balls faced.
Sample: 169 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 25, 4 above their balls per dismissal of 22 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 430 balls faced.
Sample: 430 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 13.0, 3.5 above their average of 9.5 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 247 balls faced.
Sample: 247 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 11.7, 2.2 above their average of 9.5 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 228 balls faced.
Sample: 228 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Left-handed batters: average of 140.7, 63.9 above their average of 76.8 on all balls bowled (+83%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1273 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,273 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 104.2, 27.4 above their average of 76.8 on all balls bowled (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 2286 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,286 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 145.8, 28.5 above their strike rate of 117.3 on all balls bowled (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1896 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,896 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 104.2, 27.4 above their average of 76.8 on all balls bowled (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 2286 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,286 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 165.0, 47.7 above their strike rate of 117.3 on all balls bowled (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 990 balls bowled.
Sample: 990 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 82.2, 5.4 above their average of 76.8 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 1260 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,260 balls · high confidence
England: average of 118.7, 41.9 above their average of 76.8 on all balls bowled (+55%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 474 balls bowled.
Sample: 474 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 249.0, 172.2 above their average of 76.8 on all balls bowled (+224%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 318 balls bowled.
Sample: 318 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Away from home: average of 59.3, 17.5 below their average of 76.8 on all balls bowled (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 1937 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	228	105	9	11.67	46.05	80.3%	6.6%
Leg break	86	42	2	21.00	48.84	69.8%	4.7%
Slow left-arm orthodox	79	25	3	8.33	31.65	87.3%	5.1%
Off break	74	33	5	6.60	44.59	79.7%	5.4%
Left-arm fast-medium	60	35	2	17.50	58.33	78.3%	10.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	312	127	14	9.07	40.71	82.1%	5.8%
Second new ball (81+)	281	132	14	9.43

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,950	1,920	30	64.00	3.91	98.3	67.7%	7.7%
Left-handed batters	1,273	844	6	140.67	3.98	212.2	67.9%	8.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	1,896	1,265	13	97.31	4.00	145.8	67.0%	7.6%
Second new ball (81+)	1,337	845	17	49.71	3.79	78.6	66.7%	7.1%
New ball (1-20)	990	654	6	109.00	3.96	165.0	70.6%	9.4%