Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Sajid Khan, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Pace: average of 10.4, 4.9 below their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 238 balls faced.
Sample: 238 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 13.7, 1.6 below their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 292 balls faced.
Sample: 292 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 13.7, 1.6 below their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 292 balls faced.
Sample: 292 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Away from home: average of 17.9, 2.6 above their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 239 balls faced.
Sample: 239 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 28, 3 above their balls per dismissal of 25 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 281 balls faced.
Sample: 281 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 20.7, 5.4 above their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 293 balls faced.
Sample: 293 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

New ball (1-20): economy of 4.20, 0.83 above their economy of 3.37 on all balls bowled (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 927 balls bowled.
Sample: 927 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 85.6, 56.8 above their average of 28.8 on all balls bowled (+197%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 1158 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,158 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 31.9, 3.1 above their average of 28.8 on all balls bowled (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 2143 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,143 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 31.9, 3.1 above their average of 28.8 on all balls bowled (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 2342 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,342 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 56.5, 5.3 above their strike rate of 51.3 on all balls bowled (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 622 balls bowled.
Sample: 622 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 45.0, 16.2 above their average of 28.8 on all balls bowled (+56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 471 balls bowled.
Sample: 471 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 40.3, 11.0 below their strike rate of 51.3 on all balls bowled (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 927 balls bowled.
Sample: 927 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 24.7, 4.1 below their average of 28.8 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 1606 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,606 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 2.61, 0.76 below their economy of 3.37 on all balls bowled (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 622 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Slow left-arm orthodox	201	120	8	15.00	59.70	68.7%	7.5%
Right-arm fast-medium	90	38	5	7.60	42.22	74.4%	5.6%
Off break	80	78	2	39.00	97.50	58.8%	12.5%
Right-arm fast	72	41	2	20.50	56.94	72.2%	11.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Second new ball (81+)	297	173	11	15.73	58.25	71.4%	9.1%
Old ball (21-80)	234	148	10	14.80	63.25	67.1%	7.7%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,143	1,244	39	31.90	3.48	54.9	66.2%	5.9%
Left-handed batters	1,805	975	38	25.66	3.24	47.5	71.5%	6.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	2,399	1,299	43	30.21	3.25	55.8	68.6%	5.3%
New ball (1-20)	927	649	23	28.22	4.20	40.3	63.4%	8.7%
Second new ball (81+)	622	271	11	24.64	2.61	56.5	76.4%	4.5%