Plans built only from the evidence.

West Indies: average of 47.3, 13.6 above their average of 33.7 on all balls bowled (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 908 balls bowled.

Sample: 908 balls · high confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 3.81, 0.47 above their economy of 3.34 on all balls bowled (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1053 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,053 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 46.9, 13.2 above their average of 33.7 on all balls bowled (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 800 balls bowled.

Sample: 800 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 65.0, 31.3 above their average of 33.7 on all balls bowled (+93%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 456 balls bowled.

Sample: 456 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 65.8, 32.1 above their average of 33.7 on all balls bowled (+95%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 505 balls bowled.

Sample: 505 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 103.0, 42.5 above their strike rate of 60.5 on all balls bowled (+70%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 412 balls bowled.

Sample: 412 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): economy of 3.60, 0.25 above their economy of 3.34 on all balls bowled (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 412 balls bowled.

Sample: 412 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): economy of 2.97, 0.37 below their economy of 3.34 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 891 balls bowled.

Sample: 891 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 38.7, 21.7 below their strike rate of 60.5 on all balls bowled (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 891 balls bowled.

Sample: 891 balls · high confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 3.19, 0.15 below their economy of 3.34 on all balls bowled (-4%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 3300 balls bowled.

Sample: 3,300 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 14.0, 19.7 below their average of 33.7 on all balls bowled (-58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 436 balls bowled.

Sample: 436 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 31.9, 1.8 below their average of 33.7 on all balls bowled (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 965 balls bowled.

Sample: 965 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 15.3, 18.4 below their average of 33.7 on all balls bowled (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 279 balls bowled.

Sample: 279 balls · low confidence