Plans built only from the evidence.

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 30.9, 12.8 below their strike rate of 43.8 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 808 balls faced.

Sample: 808 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 20.8, 7.3 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 808 balls faced.

Sample: 808 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 17.4, 10.8 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 533 balls faced.

Sample: 533 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 18.7, 9.4 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 1461 balls faced.

Sample: 1,461 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 24.3, 3.8 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 2490 balls faced.

Sample: 2,490 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 39.8, 4.0 below their strike rate of 43.8 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1461 balls faced.

Sample: 1,461 balls · high confidence

Leg break: strike rate of 41.1, 2.7 below their strike rate of 43.8 on all balls faced (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 482 balls faced.

Sample: 482 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 23.0, 5.1 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 836 balls faced.

Sample: 836 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 14.9, 13.3 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 310 balls faced.

Sample: 310 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 25.6, 2.5 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 731 balls faced.

Sample: 731 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 19.9, 8.3 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +22%) — 331 balls faced.

Sample: 331 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 18.4, 9.8 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 409 balls faced.

Sample: 409 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 43.6, 15.5 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+55%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1014 balls faced.

Sample: 1,014 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 35.6, 7.4 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 3533 balls faced.

Sample: 3,533 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 31.7, 3.6 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 3235 balls faced.

Sample: 3,235 balls · high confidence

England: average of 34.1, 5.9 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1350 balls faced.

Sample: 1,350 balls · high confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 87.0, 58.9 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+209%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +21%) — 424 balls faced.

Sample: 424 balls · medium confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 87.0, 58.9 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+209%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +22%) — 424 balls faced.

Sample: 424 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 68, 4 above their balls per dismissal of 64 on all balls faced (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1228 balls faced.

Sample: 1,228 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 49.1, 5.4 above their strike rate of 43.8 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 731 balls faced.

Sample: 731 balls · high confidence

Off break: strike rate of 47.9, 4.1 above their strike rate of 43.8 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 840 balls faced.

Sample: 840 balls · high confidence