Plans built only from the evidence.

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 44.5, 16.5 below their strike rate of 61.0 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1210 balls faced.

Sample: 1,210 balls · high confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 48, 23 below their balls per dismissal of 70 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1000 balls faced.

Sample: 1,000 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 33.7, 9.2 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1210 balls faced.

Sample: 1,210 balls · high confidence

New Zealand: average of 32.4, 10.5 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 592 balls faced.

Sample: 592 balls · high confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 62, 8 below their balls per dismissal of 70 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1124 balls faced.

Sample: 1,124 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 34.3, 8.6 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 1847 balls faced.

Sample: 1,847 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 39.2, 3.6 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 266 balls faced.

Sample: 266 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 24.7, 18.2 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 156 balls faced.

Sample: 156 balls · low confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 24.7, 18.2 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 156 balls faced.

Sample: 156 balls · low confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 92, 21 above their balls per dismissal of 70 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2655 balls faced.

Sample: 2,655 balls · high confidence

England: average of 52.6, 9.7 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1308 balls faced.

Sample: 1,308 balls · high confidence

England: average of 53.8, 10.9 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 2154 balls faced.

Sample: 2,154 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 82.2, 39.4 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+92%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 435 balls faced.

Sample: 435 balls · medium confidence

Off break: strike rate of 66.7, 5.7 above their strike rate of 61.0 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1108 balls faced.

Sample: 1,108 balls · high confidence

Off break: average of 56.8, 13.9 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1108 balls faced.

Sample: 1,108 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 75.6, 14.6 above their strike rate of 61.0 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 435 balls faced.

Sample: 435 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 47.3, 4.4 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 2284 balls faced.

Sample: 2,284 balls · high confidence

Left-arm fast: strike rate of 89.9, 28.9 above their strike rate of 61.0 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 189 balls faced.

Sample: 189 balls · low confidence