Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

SIR Dunkley, Women's Test

Old ball (21-80): average of 19.0, 6.3 below their average of 25.3 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 226 balls faced.
Sample: 226 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 39.0, 13.7 above their average of 25.3 on all balls faced (+54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 249 balls faced.
Sample: 249 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 39.0, 13.7 above their average of 25.3 on all balls faced (+54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 249 balls faced.
Sample: 249 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 91.0, 65.7 above their average of 25.3 on all balls faced (+259%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -16%) — 177 balls faced.
Sample: 177 balls · low confidence
India: average of 50.0, 24.7 above their average of 25.3 on all balls faced (+97%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 161 balls faced.
Sample: 161 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	177	91	1	91.00	51.41	70.1%	5.1%
Right-arm fast-medium	96	67	3	22.33	69.79	74.0%	12.5%
Right-arm medium	70	25	2	12.50	35.71	77.1%	2.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	226	114	6	19.00	50.44	77.0%	8.0%
Second new ball (81+)	133	76	1	76.00	57.14	67.7%	6.8%
New ball (1-20)	64	38	2	19.00	59.38	70.3%	7.8%