Plans built only from the evidence.

Spin: average of 35.0, 6.2 below their average of 41.2 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 323 balls faced.

Sample: 323 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 28.5, 12.7 below their average of 41.2 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 243 balls faced.

Sample: 243 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 61.0, 19.8 above their average of 41.2 on all balls faced (+48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 406 balls faced.

Sample: 406 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 66.7, 25.4 above their average of 41.2 on all balls faced (+62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 252 balls faced.

Sample: 252 balls · medium confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 82, 27 above their balls per dismissal of 55 on all balls faced (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 246 balls faced.

Sample: 246 balls · medium confidence

Pace: average of 63.0, 21.8 above their average of 41.2 on all balls faced (+53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 172 balls faced.

Sample: 172 balls · low confidence