Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): economy of 4.32, 0.27 above their economy of 4.04 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 442 balls bowled.

Sample: 442 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 48.8, 13.0 above their average of 35.8 on all balls bowled (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 354 balls bowled.

Sample: 354 balls · low confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 40.2, 12.9 below their strike rate of 53.1 on all balls bowled (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 442 balls bowled.

Sample: 442 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 24.4, 11.4 below their average of 35.8 on all balls bowled (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 403 balls bowled.

Sample: 403 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 28.6, 7.2 below their average of 35.8 on all balls bowled (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 511 balls bowled.

Sample: 511 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 29.9, 5.9 below their average of 35.8 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 496 balls bowled.

Sample: 496 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 28.6, 7.2 below their average of 35.8 on all balls bowled (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 511 balls bowled.

Sample: 511 balls · medium confidence