Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

SR Waugh, Men's Test

Pace: average of 55.1, 14.9 below their average of 70.0 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 647 balls faced.
Sample: 647 balls · high confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 98, 15 below their balls per dismissal of 113 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 687 balls faced.
Sample: 687 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 57.4, 4.7 below their strike rate of 62.1 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 749 balls faced.
Sample: 749 balls · high confidence
England: average of 49.8, 20.2 below their average of 70.0 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 288 balls faced.
Sample: 288 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 129.5, 59.5 above their average of 70.0 on all balls faced (+85%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 480 balls faced.
Sample: 480 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 260, 147 above their balls per dismissal of 113 on all balls faced (+131%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 260 balls faced.
Sample: 260 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 69.8, 7.7 above their strike rate of 62.1 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 440 balls faced.
Sample: 440 balls · medium confidence

No bowling weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

Australia: average of 47.0, 12.5 below their average of 59.5 on all balls bowled (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 252 balls bowled.
Sample: 252 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	440	307	5	61.40	69.77	68.9%	10.9%
Off break	226	143	0	–	63.27	66.8%	8.0%
Leg break	143	47	1	47.00	32.87	81.8%	4.2%
Slow left-arm orthodox	111	69	1	69.00	62.16	73.0%	9.9%
Left-arm fast-medium	76	33	2	16.50	43.42	76.3%	6.6%
Right-arm fast	69	43	0	–	62.32	65.2%	10.1%
Right-arm medium	62	58	1	58.00	93.55	58.1%	12.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	222	88	2	44.00	2.38	111.0	75.2%	3.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	264	115	2	57.50	2.61	132.0	73.1%	3.8%