Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 39.1, 3.4 below their strike rate of 42.5 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 581 balls faced.

Sample: 581 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 15.8, 3.4 below their average of 19.2 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 364 balls faced.

Sample: 364 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 37, 8 below their balls per dismissal of 45 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 298 balls faced.

Sample: 298 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 35.6, 6.8 below their strike rate of 42.5 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 160 balls faced.

Sample: 160 balls · low confidence

New Zealand: average of 13.2, 6.0 below their average of 19.2 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 175 balls faced.

Sample: 175 balls · low confidence

New Zealand: average of 13.2, 6.0 below their average of 19.2 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 175 balls faced.

Sample: 175 balls · low confidence

England: average of 24.9, 5.7 above their average of 19.2 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 605 balls faced.

Sample: 605 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 21.4, 2.2 above their average of 19.2 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 677 balls faced.

Sample: 677 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 59, 13 above their balls per dismissal of 45 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 470 balls faced.

Sample: 470 balls · high confidence

England: average of 32.5, 13.3 above their average of 19.2 on all balls faced (+69%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 402 balls faced.

Sample: 402 balls · medium confidence