Plans built only from the evidence.

South Africa: average of 18.9, 20.6 below their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (-52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 567 balls faced.

Sample: 567 balls · high confidence

Leg break: strike rate of 49.1, 9.5 below their strike rate of 58.5 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 585 balls faced.

Sample: 585 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 52.9, 5.6 below their strike rate of 58.5 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 3293 balls faced.

Sample: 3,293 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 32.3, 7.2 below their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 3293 balls faced.

Sample: 3,293 balls · high confidence

Right-arm medium: strike rate of 38.2, 20.4 below their strike rate of 58.5 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 283 balls faced.

Sample: 283 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm medium: average of 18.0, 21.5 below their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 283 balls faced.

Sample: 283 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 34.1, 5.4 below their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1763 balls faced.

Sample: 1,763 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 22.1, 17.4 below their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 324 balls faced.

Sample: 324 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 33.0, 6.5 below their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1073 balls faced.

Sample: 1,073 balls · high confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 28.5, 11.0 below their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +21%) — 174 balls faced.

Sample: 174 balls · low confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 29.7, 9.9 below their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 164 balls faced.

Sample: 164 balls · low confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 72.4, 13.9 above their strike rate of 58.5 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 663 balls faced.

Sample: 663 balls · high confidence

England: average of 61.3, 21.8 above their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (+55%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 996 balls faced.

Sample: 996 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 62.3, 3.7 above their strike rate of 58.5 on all balls faced (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 5117 balls faced.

Sample: 5,117 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 61.8, 22.3 above their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (+56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 884 balls faced.

Sample: 884 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 45.5, 6.0 above their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 5117 balls faced.

Sample: 5,117 balls · high confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 83, 16 above their balls per dismissal of 68 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2167 balls faced.

Sample: 2,167 balls · high confidence

India: average of 49.3, 9.8 above their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 484 balls faced.

Sample: 484 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 61.8, 3.3 above their strike rate of 58.5 on all balls faced (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 3072 balls faced.

Sample: 3,072 balls · high confidence

England: average of 67.0, 27.5 above their average of 39.5 on all balls faced (+70%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 278 balls faced.

Sample: 278 balls · medium confidence