Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Taskin Ahmed, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Spin: average of 8.9, 2.6 below their average of 11.5 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 231 balls faced.
Sample: 231 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 8.8, 2.7 below their average of 11.5 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 345 balls faced.
Sample: 345 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 15, 8 below their balls per dismissal of 23 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 166 balls faced.
Sample: 166 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 13.1, 1.6 above their average of 11.5 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 427 balls faced.
Sample: 427 balls · medium confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 16.9, 5.4 above their average of 11.5 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 296 balls faced.
Sample: 296 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 62.3, 11.6 above their strike rate of 50.8 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 215 balls faced.
Sample: 215 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 16.8, 5.2 above their average of 11.5 on all balls faced (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 215 balls faced.
Sample: 215 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

New Zealand: average of 103.2, 62.7 above their average of 40.5 on all balls bowled (+155%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 809 balls bowled.
Sample: 809 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 103.2, 62.7 above their average of 40.5 on all balls bowled (+155%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 809 balls bowled.
Sample: 809 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 72.5, 6.0 above their strike rate of 66.6 on all balls bowled (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 943 balls bowled.
Sample: 943 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 4.06, 0.41 above their economy of 3.65 on all balls bowled (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 943 balls bowled.
Sample: 943 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 105.0, 64.5 above their average of 40.5 on all balls bowled (+159%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 396 balls bowled.
Sample: 396 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 105.0, 64.5 above their average of 40.5 on all balls bowled (+159%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 396 balls bowled.
Sample: 396 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 60.8, 5.8 below their strike rate of 66.6 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1519 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,519 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): economy of 3.31, 0.34 below their economy of 3.65 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1200 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,200 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 18.6, 21.9 below their average of 40.5 on all balls bowled (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 385 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	215	134	8	16.75	62.33	69.8%	8.4%
Off break	126	38	5	7.60	30.16	81.0%	3.2%
Left-arm fast-medium	96	53	3	17.67	55.21	66.7%	6.3%
Slow left-arm orthodox	91	52	6	8.67	57.14	70.3%	5.5%
Right-arm fast	77	25	4	6.25	32.47	79.2%	3.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	345	168	19	8.84	48.70	72.5%	5.2%
Second new ball (81+)	296	152	9	16.89

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,162	1,306	34	38.41	3.62	63.6	71.6%	7.6%
Left-handed batters	1,378	844	18	46.89	3.67	76.6	71.3%	8.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	1,519	927	25	37.08	3.66	60.8	71.6%	8.2%
New ball (1-20)	1,200	662	17	38.94	3.31	70.6	74.7%	6.6%
Second new ball (81+)	943	638	13	49.08	4.06	72.5	67.1%	9.2%